Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.001409 0.001500 0.001593 0.001697 0.001810 0.001927 0.002059
2024-10-20 0.001259 0.001381 0.001512 0.001662 0.001830 0.002012 0.002227
2024-10-27 0.001167 0.001311 0.001469 0.001656 0.001872 0.002115 0.002409
2024-11-03 0.001064 0.001218 0.001391 0.001600 0.001849 0.002135 0.002492
2024-11-10 0.001017 0.001184 0.001376 0.001614 0.001903 0.002244 0.002680
2024-11-17 0.000962 0.001137 0.001341 0.001599 0.001918 0.002303 0.002808
2024-11-24 0.000929 0.001113 0.001332 0.001614 0.001968 0.002405 0.002990
2024-12-01 0.000879 0.001066 0.001291 0.001585 0.001962 0.002434 0.003079
2024-12-08 0.000841 0.001031 0.001263 0.001571 0.001971 0.002482 0.003192
2024-12-15 0.000808 0.001001 0.001239 0.001560 0.001983 0.002532 0.003308
2024-12-22 0.000782 0.000979 0.001225 0.001559 0.002008 0.002598 0.003449
2024-12-29 0.000753 0.000950 0.001201 0.001545 0.002013 0.002638 0.003553
2025-01-05 0.000727 0.000928 0.001185 0.001545 0.002041 0.002716 0.003724
2025-01-12 0.000691 0.000890 0.001149 0.001514 0.002026 0.002733 0.003808
2025-01-19 0.000667 0.000868 0.001132 0.001509 0.002047 0.002800 0.003967
2025-01-26 0.000629 0.000825 0.001084 0.001460 0.002001 0.002770 0.003980
2025-02-02 0.000615 0.000814 0.001081 0.001472 0.002044 0.002870 0.004194
2025-02-09 0.000593 0.000792 0.001061 0.001459 0.002048 0.002912 0.004320
2025-02-16 0.000582 0.000783 0.001059 0.001472 0.002092 0.003014 0.004545
2025-02-23 0.000559 0.000757 0.001031 0.001446 0.002076 0.003026 0.004623
2025-03-02 0.000541 0.000738 0.001013 0.001433 0.002079 0.003064 0.004748
2025-03-09 0.000525 0.000721 0.000997 0.001423 0.002085 0.003108 0.004884
2025-03-16 0.000512 0.000709 0.000988 0.001423 0.002106 0.003176 0.005062